Tan iyo bartamihii Oktoobar, sababtoo ah nasashada muuqata ee qaybinta awoodda warshadaha iyo soo kabashada joogtada ah ee dhinaca sahayda, qiimaha mustaqbalka ferroalloy ayaa sii waday inuu hoos u dhaco, iyadoo qiimaha ugu hooseeya ee ferrosilicon uu hoos ugu dhacay 9,930 yuan/ton, iyo qiimaha ugu hooseeya ee silicomanganese oo ah 8,800 yuan/ton. Marka la eego soo kabashada sahayda iyo baahida deggan, waxaan aaminsanahay in ferroalloys ay wali sii wadi doonaan isbeddel hoos u dhac ah, laakiin hoos u dhaca iyo booska waxaa ku dhici doona isbeddello ku yimaada qiimaha walxaha ceeriin ee ku salaysan kaarboon dhammaadka kharashka.
Sahaydu way sii kordheysaa
Maalmihii la soo dhaafay, warshado badan oo ferrosilicon ah oo ku yaal Zhongwei, Ningxia ayaa soo saaray codsiyo ku saabsan koronto la'aanta foornooyinka qarka u saaran. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, warshad koronto oo shirkad isku-dhafan ah oo ku taal Guizhou ma lahan dhuxul la iibsado, taasoo muujinaysa inay joojin karto wax soo saarka. Khalkhalka korontada ee dhinaca sahayda ayaa mararka qaar dhacayay, laakiin ilaalinta sahayda dhuxusha kulaylka ayaa keentay saameyn weyn, wax soo saarka ferroalloy-na wuu sii kordhayaa. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, wax soo saarka ferrosilicon ee shirkadaha muunadda waa 87,000 tan, koror dhan 4 milyan oo tan marka loo eego usbuucii hore; heerka hawlgalka waa 37.26%, koror dhan 1.83 boqolkiiba dhibcood marka loo eego usbuucii hore. Sahaydu waxay dib u soo noqotay laba toddobaad oo isku xiga. Isla mar ahaantaana, wax soo saarka silico-manganese ee shirkadaha muunadda wuxuu ahaa 153,700 tan, koror dhan 1,600 tan marka loo eego usbuucii hore; heerka hawlgalka wuxuu ahaa 52.56%, koror dhan 1.33 boqolkiiba dhibcood marka loo eego usbuucii hore. Sahayda silicomanganese ayaa soo noqotay shan toddobaad oo xiriir ah.
Isla markaana, wax soo saarka birta ayaa kordhay. Xogta ugu dambeysay waxay muujinaysaa in wax soo saarka qaranka ee shan badeecooyin bir ah oo waaweyn uu ahaa 9.219 milyan oo tan, taasoo ah dib u soo kabasho yar marka loo eego usbuucii hore, celceliska wax soo saarka birta cayriin ee maalinlaha ahna uu si yar u soo kabtay. Saddexdii bilood ee ugu horreeyay sanadkan, wax soo saarka birta cayriin ee gudaha ayaa kordhay qiyaastii 16 milyan oo tan marka la barbar dhigo isla xilligii sannadkii hore, taasoo weli ka fog bartilmaameedka dhimista wax soo saarka ee ay Wasaaradda Warshadaha iyo Tiknoolajiyada Macluumaadka u dejisay warshadaha birta. Wax soo saarka birta cayriin uma badna inuu si weyn u kordho bisha Nofeembar, waxaana la filayaa in baahida guud ee ferroalloys ay noqoto mid daciif ah.
Ka dib markii qiimaha mustaqbalka ferroalloy uu si xoog leh hoos ugu dhacay, mugga rasiidhada bakhaarka ayaa si weyn hoos ugu dhacay. Qiimo dhimis muhiim ah oo ku yimid saxanka, xiisaha kordhay ee loogu talagalay in rasiidhada bakhaarka loo beddelo meel bannaan, marka lagu daro, faa'iidada muuqata ee kharash-oolnimada leh ee qiimaha dhibcaha, dhammaantood waxay gacan ka geysteen hoos u dhac weyn oo ku yimid mugga rasiidhada bakhaarka. Marka laga eego dhinaca kaydka shirkadaha, kaydka silicomanganese ayaa si yar hoos ugu dhacay, taasoo muujinaysa in sahaydu ay xoogaa cidhiidhi tahay.
Marka laga eego xaaladda qorista birta Hegang bishii Oktoobar, qiimaha ferrosilicon waa 16,000 yuan/tan qiimaha silicomanganese waa 12,800 yuan/tan. Qiimaha dalabka birta ayaa si weyn uga sarreeya qiimaha mustaqbalka ee usbuucii hore. Waxay si xun u saameyn kartaa qiimaha ferroalloys.
Taageerada kharashka wali waa socotaa
Ka dib markii qiimaha mustaqbalka ferroalloy uu si xoog leh hoos ugu dhacay, waxay heshay taageero ku dhow qiimaha booska. Marka laga eego qiimaha wax soo saarka ee ugu dambeeyay, ferrosilicon wuxuu joogaa 9,800 yuan/ton, taasoo ah hoos u dhac 200 yuan/ton ah marka loo eego xilligii hore, taasoo ugu horreyn sabab u ah hoos u dhaca qiimaha kaarboonka buluugga ah. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, qiimaha dhuxusha buluugga ah waa 3,000 yuan/ton, qiimaha mustaqbalka coke-na si weyn ayuu hoos ugu dhacay ilaa 3,000 yuan/ton. Hoos u dhaca qiimaha dhuxusha buluugga ah xilliga dambe waa khatar weyn oo ah hoos u dhaca qiimaha ferrosilicon. Haddii heerka cirka ee dhuxusha buluugga ah uu hoos u dhaco, qiimaha dhuxusha buluugga ah wuxuu hoos ugu dhici doonaa ilaa 2,000 yuan/ton, qiimaha u dhigma ferrosilicon-na wuxuu noqon doonaa ilaa 8,600 yuan/ton. Marka laga eego waxqabadka dhawaan ee suuqa kaarboonka buluugga ah, waxaa jiray hoos u dhac weyn oo ku yimid meelaha qaar. Sidoo kale, qiimaha silicomanganese waa 8500 yuan/ton. Haddii qiimaha kookaha birta labaad uu hoos u dhaco 1,000 yuan/tan, qiimaha silicomanganese waxaa loo wareejin doonaa 7800 yuan/tan. Waqtiga gaaban, taageerada kharashka joogtada ah ee 9,800 yuan/tan ee ferrosilicon iyo 8,500 yuan/tan ee silicomanganese wali waa mid waxtar leh, laakiin muddada dhexe, qiimaha kookaha birta ah ee kaarboon buluug ah iyo kookaha birta labaad ayaa weli leh khataro hoos u dhac ah, taasoo horseedi karta qiimaha ferroalloys. Si tartiib tartiib ah hoos ugu dhaca.
Diiradda saar dayactirka salka ku haya
Saldhigga qandaraaska ferrosilicon 2201 waa 1,700 yuan/tan, saldhigga qandaraaska silico-manganese 2201 waa 1,500 yuan/tan. Qiimo dhimista diskka wali waa mid halis ah. Qiimo dhimista weyn ee diskka mustaqbalka waa mid ka mid ah arrimaha taageera dib u soo celinta diskka. Si kastaba ha ahaatee, dareenka suuqa booska hadda jira waa mid aan degganayn dhaqdhaqaaqa dib u soo celinta ee mustaqbalkana kuma filna. Intaa waxaa dheer, marka la eego dhaqdhaqaaqa hoos u dhaca ee kharashyada wax soo saarka booska, waxaa jira suurtogalnimo sare oo ah in saldhigga la hagaajin doono qaab hoos u dhac booska ah oo la qabsanaya mustaqbalka.
Guud ahaan, waxaan aaminsanahay in hoos u dhaca qandaraaska 2201 uusan isbeddelin. Waxaa lagu talinayaa in la gaabiyo isu soo baxyada oo fiiro gaar ah loo yeesho cadaadiska u dhow ferrosilicon 11500-12000 yuan/ton, silicomanganese 9800-10300 yuan/ton, iyo ferrosilicon 8000-8600 yuan/ton. Tan iyo silicomanganese 7500-7800 yuan/ton taageero u dhow.