Awood wadis oo aan ku filnayn
Dhinac, marka laga eego aragtida dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka warshadaha birta, macdanta birta wali waxay leedahay taageero; dhanka kale, marka laga eego qiimaha iyo saldhigga, macdanta birta ayaa xoogaa qiimo dhimis ah lagu sameeyay. In kasta oo ay weli jirto taageero xooggan oo loogu talagalay macdanta birta mustaqbalka, haddana waxaan u baahanahay inaan ka digtoonaano khatarta ah in hoos u dhac weyn yimaado.
Tan iyo markii suuqa macdanta birta uu bilaabay inuu kor u kaco Noofambar 19 sannadkii hore, qandaraaskii 2205 wuxuu dib uga soo kabtay heerkii ugu hooseeyay ee 512 yuan/ton ilaa 717.5 yuan/ton, taasoo ah koror dhan 40.14%. Disk-ka hadda jira wuxuu dhinac uga ganacsanayaa qiyaastii 700 yuan/ton. Marka laga eego dhinaca hadda, dhinaca kale, marka laga eego aragtida dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka warshadaha birta, macdanta birta ayaa weli la taageeraa; dhinaca kale, marka laga eego dhinaca qiimaha iyo saldhigga, macdanta birta ayaa xoogaa qiimo sare leh. Marka la eego mustaqbalka, qoraagu wuxuu aaminsan yahay in inkastoo macdanta birta ay weli leedahay taageero xooggan xilligan, haddana ay lagama maarmaan tahay in laga digtoonaado khatarta hoos u dhac weyn.
sii deyn wanaagsan ayaa dhammaatay
Arrimaha sababay kororka macdanta birta marxaladdii hore waxay ahaayeen dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka ee la filayay in ay sameeyaan warshadaha birta iyo baahida dhabta ah ka dib markii la filayay in la soo dego. Filashooyinka hadda jira ayaa si tartiib tartiib ah u noqonaya kuwo rumoobaya. Xogtu waxay muujinaysaa in Diseembar 24-kii sannadkii hore, kaydka warshadaha birta + kaydka badda ay wadartoodu ahayd 44,831,900 tan, taasoo ah koror dhan 3.0216 milyan oo tan marka loo eego bishii hore; Diseembar 31-keedii sannadkii hore, kaydka warshadaha birta + kaydka badda waxay wadartoodu ahayd 45,993,600 oo tan, bil-bil. Koror dhan 1,161,700 oo tan. Xogta kor ku xusan waxay muujinaysaa in istaraatiijiyadda kaydka ee hoose ee warshadda birta ay ilaalinaysay nus sano ay bilaabatay inay dabciso, warshadda birtana ay bilowday inay dib u buuxiso kaydka. Dib u soo kabashada Shugang iyo ka takhalusidda kaydka ganacsiga markii ugu horreysay tan iyo Sebtembar 2021 ayaa sidoo kale xaqiijiyay tan.
Haddii dib-u-cusboonaysiinta warshadda birta la go'aamiyay, waxaan u baahanahay inaan tixgelinno laba arrimood: Marka hore, goorma ayay dhammaan doontaa dib-u-cusboonaysiinta warshadda birta? Marka labaad, intee in le'eg ayay qaadan doontaa in dib-u-soo-saarka dib loo bilaabo si uu u muujiyo soo kabashada birta dhalaalaysa? Marka laga hadlayo su'aasha koowaad, guud ahaan marka la hadlayo, haddii warshadda birtu ay si joogto ah u buuxiso bakhaarka, muddada kama badnaan doonto saddex toddobaad. Haddii baahidu sii socoto inay wanaagsanaato, warshadda birtu waxay sii wadi doontaa inay kordhiso kaydka, taas oo ka muuqata dhaqdhaqaaqa joogtada ah ee kor u kaca ee bartamaha mugga dekedda, mugga macaamilka, iyo kaydka warshadda birta. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, warshadda birtu waxay u badan tahay inay dib u buuxiso bakhaarradooda marxalado, inta badan sababaha soo socda awgood: Marka hore, gobolka koonfureed, oo awood u leh inuu dib u bilaabo wax soo saarka si joogto ah, wuxuu dhawaan keeni doonaa hoos u dhac xilliyeed oo ku yimaada isticmaalka awoodda bisha Janaayo; Sababtoo ah wax soo saarka xaddidan ee dayrta iyo jiilaalka iyo Olombikada Jiilaalka, heerka isticmaalka awoodda uma badna inuu si weyn u kordho, mana jirto shuruud loogu talagalay dib-u-soo-celinta joogtada ah ee wax soo saarka; Marka saddexaad, Bariga Shiinaha, oo ah xoogga ugu weyn ee dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka, heerka isticmaalka awoodda ayaa la filayaa inuu dib u soo kabto 10%-15%, Laakiin haddii aad ka eegto isbarbardhig siman, inta lagu jiro Bandhigga Gu'ga sannadihii la soo dhaafay, baaxadda dib u soo celinta wax soo saarkeeda wali way xaddidan tahay. Sidaa darteed, waxaan u janjeernaa inaan u maleyno in dib u soo celinta iyo dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka ee dhowaan la sameeyay ay dhammaantood marxalado yihiin.
Marka laga hadlayo su'aasha labaad, waxaa la filayaa in birta dhalaalaysa ay soo kaban doonto bisha Janaayo, iyadoo gaari doonta heerka 2.05 milyan ilaa 2.15 milyan oo tan maalintii. Laakiin maadaama dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka la marayo marxalad, soo celinta wax soo saarka birta dhalaalaysa ee toddobaadyada soo socda ma yeelan doonto kor u kac muddo dheer ah oo ku yimaada diskka.
Qiimaynta aadka u sareysa
Marka hore, marka laga eego dhinaca qiimaynta, qiimaha dhabta ah ayaa durba sarreeya marka loo eego aasaaska. Marka la barbardhigo qaab toosan, mowjaddii ugu dambeysay waxay ka bilaabatay meel aad loo iibiyay, ilaa dib u bilaabista ganacsiga la filayay, ilaa dib u buuxinta la filayay ee warshadaha birta, kor u kaca iyo hoos u dhaca wax soo saarka birta dhalaalaysa ayaa ka muuqday suuqa laga bilaabo dabayaaqadii Sebtembar ilaa horraantii Oktoobar sannadkii hore, markaas oo qiimaha saxanka uu sarreeyay. Qiyaastii 800 yuan/tan. Waqtigaas, kaydka dekedda birta macdantu wuxuu ahaa 128.5722 milyan oo tan, celceliska wax soo saarka birta dhalaalaysa ee maalinlaha ahna wuxuu ahaa 2.2 milyan oo tan. Xaaladda kaydka hadda jira iyo xaaladda baahida ayaa aad uga sii daran tii dabayaaqadii Sebtembar sannadkii hore. Xitaa marka la eego dib u soo celinta wax soo saarka Janaayo, waxaa la filayaa in wax soo saarka birta dhalaalaysa uusan ku soo noqon doonin 2.2 milyan oo tan/maalintii.
Marka labaad, marka laga eego dhinaca tirakoobka, saldhigga qandaraaska 2205 waxaa guud ahaan lagu hayaa 70-80 yuan/ton bisha Febraayo iyo Maarso ee sannad kasta. Saldhigga hadda ee qandaraaska 2205 waa ku dhawaad ​​0, xitaa haddii qiimaha booska sida budada super uu leeyahay koror 100 yuan/ton ah, marka la eego saldhigga xooggan, heerka dabagalka diskka sidoo kale aad ayuu u xaddidan yahay. Intaa waxaa dheer, qiimaha dekedda caadiga ah ee budada super special guud ahaan waa qiyaastii 470 yuan/ton, mana jiraan shuruudo ku qasbaya inuu kor u kaco 570 yuan/ton.
Ugu dambeyntii, marka laga eego isku xirka alaabada madow, sababtoo ah taageerada liidata ee qiimaha birta, hoos u dhaceeda ayaa sidoo kale horseedi doonta hoos u dhac ku yimaada macdanta birta. Waqtigan xaadirka ah, baahida loo qabo in la buuxiyo xilliga ka baxsan xilliga, baahida muuqatana waa liidataa. Marka la eego kaydka, inkastoo kaydka bulshadu uu weli sii dhammaanayo, wadarta kaydka warshadaha birta ayaa bilaabatay inay korodho, taasoo muujinaysa baahida liidata ee kaydinta jiilaalkan. Sababtoo ah qiimaha sare ee hadda jira iyo kalsooni la'aanta baahida mustaqbalka, ganacsatadu ma haystaan ​​​​diyaar u ah kaydinta jiilaalka. Iyadoo ay jirto cadaadiska hoos u dhaca ee birta, waa iska cad in macdanta birta aan laga tagi karin.
Guud ahaan, kor u kaca macdanta birta ee saadaasha suuqa waa mid muddo gaaban ah, halka hoos u dhaca uu leeyahay saameyn qoto dheer.